Europe has a unique geographical advantage that allows it to bridge Asian and American business hours and therefore markets. With the continued growth of Asian markets in mind, now is the time to take a long-term view and lengthen European trading hours to create an overlap with Asian business hours and lengthen the overlap with American hours.
Expanding trading hours will also facilitate additional retail engagement within Europe, further capitalising on the European CMU’s unique differentiator.
Proposed adjustment to European trading hours
In recent months there has been significant discussion within the European capital markets industry around trading hours, with a call to re-evaluate European exchanges’ opening hours to ensure they are optimised for current market realities. As Optiver, we welcome dialogue that leads to the improvement of the market and ensures it remains fair, transparent, healthy, active and liquid.
With over 30 years’ experience in market making and a global footprint, Optiver has extensive experience trading on exchanges with varying market hours and models. Healthy, active markets with a range of engaged parties, benefit society as a whole as they facilitate more efficient capital allocation and lower the costs of raising funds and investing.
Some parties have suggested shortening European market hours, highlighting that exchanges in other regions are able to handle similar trading volumes to Europe in shorter hours. Optiver disagrees with this view, as we strongly believe that it would be detrimental to European capital markets, especially if the critical overlap period with North American markets was lost. Such a move would exacerbate the already declining global competitiveness of Europe and further reduce the relevance of its capital markets (see tables below), during a period when the region can least afford it.
Re-evaluating European trading hours is an opportunity to better leverage Europe’s key differentiator – its geographical location. Europe has the unique advantage of being able to bridge business hours between APAC and North America. Instead of shortening trading hours, we propose that European exchanges open earlier and close later while introducing a lunch break in the middle. This would increase global interest in European Capital Markets which will have significant positive consequences for the region and at the same time stimulate local retail interest in real capital markets.
Above tables show historical notional traded volumes of index futures and options in US/EU/APAC regions. Source: FIA.
Note the dramatic growth in volumes in the US and APAC with no growth – and in many cases decline – in traded notional across Europe since 2008. NB Due to major market structure shifts and in transparency of data a similar chart cannot be created for equity markets directly but Index Futures serve a very reasonable proxy.
Optiver notes that this decline in volumes goes hand in hand with a decline in overall liquidity and relevance of the European Capital Markets Union and urges swift action to increase global relevance of European Capital Markets – of which optimized market hours is one important facet.
European capital markets union
The entire European Capital Markets Union and in turn, European economies, stand to benefit from fully leveraging Europe’s geographical advantage. The likely outcomes are directly aligned with the goals of the European Capital Markets Union initiative, in particular the goals to:
- facilitate cross-border investing and attract more foreign investment into the EU
- reduce the cost of raising capital
- provide new sources of funding for businesses, especially for small and medium-sized enterprises
- increase options for savers across the EU
Geographical advantage
Europe is uniquely positioned as a bridge between Asian and North American markets and should leverage this geographical advantage as much as possible. To do this, we propose extending trading hours of European equity exchanges to create a true overlap with Asian exchange trading hours.
It is undisputed that the current overlap with US markets is critical for liquidity on both sides of the Atlantic. A true overlap between the equities markets in APAC and Europe, which currently does not exist (see table below), would contribute to morning liquidity in European markets in the same way as the overlap period with the US markets currently contributes to afternoon liquidity.
As China continues to open to the world and other APAC economies further emerge, bringing their huge populations into the global middle class, it is inevitable that the significance of APAC capital markets will increase. This makes the long-term case for a true overlap between APAC and European market hours as valid as the current EU-US overlap.
Fully leveraging Europe’s geographical position will have the dual benefit of increasing interest in European markets and securities from both Asian and American investors, while making European markets attractive as the go-to trading venue for Asian investors looking to trade global equities.
A concrete example could be to open at 07:00 CET maintain the official close at 17:30 CET and add an additional retail-focused evening session between 18:00, with a close at 22:00 CET. To minimize the total additional hours in such a scenario we propose introducing an intra-day market pause between 11:00 and 14:00 CET. However, this is simply an example; Optiver looks forward to further discussion around the ideal hours which would achieve the goal of making the European CMU a truly global centre for equity financing and secondary trading.
Here is a table of the opening times of major derivatives and equities exchanges worldwide, including Optiver’s proposed opening times for European Equities exchanges at the bottom. We also include a relative measure of equities volume across the regions. Notice the current lack of overlap with major APAC equities exchanges and the relatively low level of activity during the middle of the EU day.
